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A new study from the University of Texas at Arlington (UTA) and the University of Michigan (UM) is the most comprehensive analysis to date to measure the impact of the Obama administration’s immigration program.
The analysis uses survey data from 2013 that shows that the number of illegals who have gone to court with U.S. Border Patrol agents on outstanding criminal charges dropped by 47 percent and the number of such criminal complaints filed with Border Patrol dropped by 44 percent.
“Our results show, first, that the Obama administration’s deportation policy was effective in deterring the illegal immigrant population,” said Mark Mowery, a UTA professor of sociology. “In 2014, there were 10,086,100 illegal immigrants with outstanding, but not guilty, criminal charges. Our analysis of court records and media reports shows that from January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2014, 3,037,600 such convictions would have been disposed of without this enforcement action.”
This decrease is especially great for people with serious charges, which accounts for one of the great challenges of the Obama executive action. In 2013, 9.9 million Americans with serious criminal charges had been convicted of that crime, but the U.S. Border Patrol only took in 830,000 of them. “The arrest rate of people charged with misdemeanors dropped 42 percent and the conviction rate dropped 28 percent while the number of such convictions in 2014 dropped from a high of 3,086,300 (in 2012) to 2,957,100 (in 2013),” according to the study.
“The Obama administration’s deportation policy had a great impact, but we can show it only partially by measuring enforcement actions by state and local governments,” Mowery explained. “Many states report they have the same enforcement resources and the same problems with illegals as the federal government. And some of their laws and policies are a more direct result of the Obama administration’s policy than most.”
One area of focus is the failure of the administration to act on the immigration issue in Texas, which has been a leader nationally in helping illegals get work permits and asylum. This is evident by the fact that of the 7.4 million adults that signed up for government insurance in Texas in 2014, only about 90,000 people received the required work permits.
“This lack of state action on immigration is particularly problematic in Texas, where the federal government is unable to grant deferred
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